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HHT: 30

03 Nov 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
27.3%
Draw
29.7%
Werder Bremen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Borussia Mönchengladbach

vs
1.20

Werder Bremen

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).