Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Cosenza
32.6%
Draw
43.6%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Cosenza
vs
1.19
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).