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16 May 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.0%
Nice
17.1%
Draw
19.0%
Saint-Étienne

Expected Goals (xG)

2.54

Nice

vs
1.34

Saint-Étienne

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).