Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Santa Clara
29.1%
Draw
25.6%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Santa Clara
vs
0.80
Estrela
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).