Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Blackpool
20.0%
Draw
32.0%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Blackpool
vs
1.62
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS68.7%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
2-3
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).