Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Northampton
25.1%
Draw
50.9%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Northampton
vs
1.41
Charlton
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).