Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Lille
22.5%
Draw
24.3%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Lille
vs
1.15
Nice
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).