Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Lens
20.9%
Draw
20.3%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Lens
vs
1.01
Monaco
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).