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19 Jul 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.1%
Śląsk Wrocław
22.9%
Draw
43.0%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Śląsk Wrocław

vs
1.97

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS71.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).