Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
St Etienne
15.8%
Draw
68.1%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
St Etienne
vs
2.69
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
0-2
7.0%
0-3
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-3
4.9%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).