Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
Regensburg
20.5%
Draw
69.2%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Regensburg
vs
2.11
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).