Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Orenburg
25.2%
Draw
58.6%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Orenburg
vs
1.82
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.3%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).