Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Korona Kielce
27.3%
Draw
37.5%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Korona Kielce
vs
1.42
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).