⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01

24 May 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
50.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok
25.7%
Draw
24.0%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Jagiellonia Białystok

vs
1.13

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).