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12 Aug 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
Quevilly Rouen
25.3%
Draw
27.5%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Quevilly Rouen

vs
0.97

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).