Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Eibar
26.9%
Draw
33.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Eibar
vs
1.22
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).