Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Forest Green
17.0%
Draw
10.8%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Forest Green
vs
0.94
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).