Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Rodez
19.5%
Draw
59.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Rodez
vs
2.03
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-1
9.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).