Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Spezia
24.7%
Draw
58.3%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Spezia
vs
1.83
Venezia
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).