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29 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Falkirk
31.1%
Draw
31.6%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Falkirk

vs
1.18

Livingston

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).