Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Crawley Town
21.6%
Draw
59.0%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Crawley Town
vs
1.74
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).