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06 Jul 2024 · 13:00

Sirius

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.0%
Mjällby
20.2%
Draw
9.8%
Sirius

Expected Goals (xG)

2.15

Mjällby

vs
0.69

Sirius

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).