Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.1%
Barcelona
9.9%
Draw
5.1%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Barcelona
vs
0.76
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).