Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Aris
23.9%
Draw
8.3%
Lamia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Aris
vs
0.45
Lamia
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
16.9%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
2.0%
4-1
1.8%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).