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AHT: 12CSV

26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Dag and Red
30.6%
Draw
18.2%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Dag and Red

vs
0.68

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.8%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).