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04 Feb 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Pendikspor
27.6%
Draw
25.8%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Pendikspor

vs
1.37

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS65.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).