Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Boreham Wood
24.6%
Draw
35.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Boreham Wood
vs
1.61
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).