Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Derby
22.8%
Draw
15.9%
Huddersfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Derby
vs
0.90
Huddersfield
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).