Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Pisa
26.0%
Draw
18.1%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Pisa
vs
0.88
Trapani
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).