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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.9%
FC Koln
20.8%
Draw
16.3%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

FC Koln

vs
0.85

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).