Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Farense
30.0%
Draw
42.8%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Farense
vs
1.11
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.530.1%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).