Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Monza
22.1%
Draw
11.3%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Monza
vs
0.70
Ternana
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).