Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.5%
Montpellier
18.7%
Draw
69.8%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Montpellier
vs
2.06
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.6%
0-1
13.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).