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21 Apr 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Erzurum BB
30.7%
Draw
13.1%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Erzurum BB

vs
0.68

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
13.0%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).