Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Cosenza
33.0%
Draw
27.5%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cosenza
vs
0.90
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).