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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Dinamo Moskva
26.0%
Draw
36.1%
Krasnodar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Dinamo Moskva

vs
1.57

Krasnodar

Markets

BTTS64.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).