Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Preston
26.9%
Draw
40.7%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Preston
vs
1.49
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).