Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Reggina
26.8%
Draw
15.1%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Reggina
vs
0.71
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).