Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Portimonense
28.5%
Draw
36.1%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Portimonense
vs
1.07
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).