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AHT: 02CSV

15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Sutton
24.9%
Draw
49.6%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Sutton

vs
1.50

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).