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AHT: 01

01 Apr 2025 · 18:30

Lugano

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Yverdon Sport
28.4%
Draw
52.3%
Lugano

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Yverdon Sport

vs
1.67

Lugano

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-2
10.1%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).