Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Newcastle
28.7%
Draw
21.2%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Newcastle
vs
0.95
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).