Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.4%
Basford United
6.4%
Draw
4.2%
Corinthian
Expected Goals (xG)
4.36
Basford United
vs
1.06
Corinthian
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.590.6%
Over 3.578.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-1
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
5-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
5-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
4-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
5-2
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).