Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.9%
Fakel
27.4%
Draw
67.7%
Zenit
Expected Goals (xG)
0.22
Fakel
vs
1.42
Zenit
Markets
BTTS16.0%
Over 0.580.0%
Over 1.549.7%
Over 2.522.9%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
26.7%
0-0
20.0%
0-2
19.5%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
1-0
3.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-1
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).