Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Empoli
28.5%
Draw
32.3%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Empoli
vs
1.25
Perugia
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).