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19 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Chesterfield
21.2%
Draw
22.6%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.27

Chesterfield

vs
1.41

Solihull

Markets

BTTS68.5%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).