Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Kaiserslautern
25.8%
Draw
43.4%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Kaiserslautern
vs
1.68
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).