Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Sherwood Colliery
14.1%
Draw
14.0%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
Sherwood Colliery
vs
1.38
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS71.3%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.582.5%
Over 3.565.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
4-1
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
4-2
4.2%
5-1
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).