Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Guiseley
22.6%
Draw
40.2%
Ashton United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Guiseley
vs
1.66
Ashton United
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-2
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).