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HHT: 20CSV

04 Nov 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.3%
Angers
22.5%
Draw
16.1%
Valenciennes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Angers

vs
0.68

Valenciennes

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.1%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).